US turns back growing number of undocumented people after arduous sea journeys, Love across the border: a couples 13-year quest to be reunited in the US, Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. However, as with voters overall, there was a substantial age divide within this group. Under Donald Trump, Americans were confronted with a near-constant onslaught of racist, anti-immigrant rhetoric and policy, especially regarding the US-Mexico border, as the same man who led chants about building a wall there won the 2016 presidential election and took control of the Oval Office for the next four years. Strength in my analysis will refer to positive qualities which the President possesses, Weakness will refer to negative qualities which damage his effectiveness in campaigning, Opportunities will refer to events and conditions which Trump can use to his advantage, and Threats will refer to events and conditions which could cost Trump support if he fails to address them properly. News outlets with right-leaning audiences used fewer types of sources than those with left-leaning or mixed audiences, 3. Biden is the lesser of two evils Vulnerable migrants were mounting an invasion, Trump said. Read more about the ATPs methodology. These qualities are notably absent from Bidens arsenal. Fewer had heard a lot about the other topics mentioned, such as the pursuit of talks with Iran (just 10% said they had heard a lot). A SWOT analysis of Trump vs. Clinton Opinion Jul 08, 2016 Analytics Government Competitive assessment takes the publicly known attributes of a product and compares it to its competition.. Wizbang Caption Contest Winners Week of July 31, 2020, Polls and Bad Sausage: Another Look at the Business of Polling. Ideological divisions within the parties were also apparent in the vote, with both Trump and Biden doing better among the ideological core of their parties. PUNE, April 11, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Cannabis Extraction Market Scope is predictable . On April 13, 2021, after the survey, the CDC recommended. Fully 78% of the stories from outlets with predominantly right-leaning audiences carried a negative assessment. Again, the broader topic of health care was covered slightly more by outlets with a left-leaning and a more mixed audience, the content analysis found. This analysis joins a growing body of research seeking to achieve a more accurate assessment of the 2020 election, each based on somewhat different sources of data.2 Different methods and data sources have unique strengths and weaknesses, meaning that specific estimates are likely to vary among the studies and no single resource can be considered definitive. The high-stakes showdown between Dominion Voting Systems and Fox News finally commences in earnest Tuesday when the $1.6 billion defamation trial begins, shining a spotlight on Fox's election . Far more Trump voters (roughly 70% in each presidential election) did not have a four-year college degree. Transparency and disclosure will take a hit, with . These differences are roughly consistent with the share of White voters in each partys coalition in 2016. Still, Biden currently has a higher. First, that is a long list, meaning that despite what the media says, Trump has a large number of ways he can reach re-election. Still, a sizable share (43%) said the November election was the first time they had cast an absentee or mail ballot. (+1) 202-419-4372 | Media Inquiries. This growth of the market can be attributed to . At the same time, White voters with a college degree made up a larger share of Biden voters (34%) than Trump voters (27%). A number of factors determined the composition of the 2020 electorate and explain how it delivered Biden a victory. News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, 2. Some nuances emerge, though, within peoples media diets. Honduras to switch ties from Taiwan to China, says president, Honduran environmental defenders shot dead in broad daylight, Honduras declares war against gangs and for control of popular narrative, Best of 2022: The amazing true(ish) story of the Honduran Maradona podcast, Central America sees economic boon as migrants flow through on way to US, Were losing hope: Honduras anger as first female president fails to fulfil womens rights pledge, Theamazing true(ish) story of the Honduran Maradona, Sell your organs to raise the ransom: the Hondurans risking kidnap and death to reach the US. Trump is seen as the law & order candidate while Democrats are seen as hurting our safety About People were then organized into five media diet groups based on the audience of the outlets they frequent. 1615 L St. NW, Suite 800Washington, DC 20036USA Among white women with a college degree, support for Biden was on par with support for Clinton in 2016 (59%-40% in 2020). Under the. There was virtually no difference in the frequency of those mentions across outlets with left-leaning audiences (50% of stories), outlets with right-leaning audiences (47% of stories) and outlets with a mixed audience (47% of stories). While the structure of the analysis and specific outlets studied have evolved with the media landscape (an abbreviated long-term trend can be found here), the 2017 study of news coverage of the early days of the Trump presidency and this 2021 study of Biden are very similar in methodology, allowing for a direct comparison of most measures. President Trump has offensive reactions to events But there's more to be worried about: The . Researchers attempted to match the panelists to three differentcommercial voter filesthat contain official records of voter registration and turnout for 2016, 2018 and 2020. Comparing early news coverage of Biden with that of past administrations among a smaller mix of outlets, 4. On balance, these shifts helped Biden a little more than Trump. While he still won this group by a little more than two-to one (66% to Bidens 31%), that 35 percentage point gap is notably smaller than the 50-point gap in the 2016 election, when 73% of White men without a college degree supported Trump, compared with 23% who supported Clinton. See here to read more about the questions used for this reportand the reports methodology. Biden officials have also said they will be proposing a new rule to further limit asylum eligibility, a move that has incited anger among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. While Trump announced Nov. 15 that he would mount a third bid for the White House in 2024, Biden has . Before I start, I will mention that Joe Biden has his own Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats. It looks at how new voters and voters who turned out in one or both previous elections voted in the 2020 presidential election and offers a detailed portrait of the demographic composition and vote choices of the 2020 electorate. Americans were less likely to answer the other three questions correctly. The issue of Immigration in the United States has been at the top of Trump's priority during his stint in office. About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. But the topics that outlets gave the most attention to differed based on the ideological makeup of their audience (see box). The most infamous through-line between Trump and Bidens approaches to people arriving at the US-Mexico border today has been both administrations controversial use of a health law to deny millions of migrants and would-be asylum seekers the opportunity to ask for protection, seemingly in violation of their rights domestically and internationally. With that, I note the relevant comments from the focus groups: Trump hasnt handled the pandemic response well its time for someone new In 2020, the age profiles of Democratic and Republican voters looked largely similar to 2016. This way nearly all U.S. adults have a chance of selection. This right-oriented group was also about twice as likely as the left-oriented group to have heard a lot about immigration reform efforts (45% vs. 21%). The 2020 general election featured the highest rate of voter turnout in more than a century, with 66% of eligible adults casting a ballot for president. As the chart show, 17.7% of tweets are positive when mentioning Biden while 13.7% when mentioning Trump and 39% negative vs 48% negative respectively.. Source types: The study also measured 13 different types of sources that might be cited in a story: This measure identifies the presence of atypeof source in any given article, not the total number of individual sources. This study marries official turnout records with a post-election survey among a large, ongoing survey panel, with the goal of improving the accuracy of the results compared with relying on self-reported turnout alone. Trump took 43% to Biden's 37%. Another 42 percent of Americans disapprove of what Biden has done so far as president, including 81 percent of Republicans and 43 percent of independents. Specifically, outlets whose audiences lean to the right politically put their heaviest emphasis on immigration, which was the focus of 20% of their stories related to the Biden administration. For those unfamiliar with the term, SWOT refers to Strength/Weakness/Opportunities/Threats, and is used to help business planners understand their condition and situation in context. Biden took 98% of the vote among liberal Democrats and leaners and 91% among those who are moderate or conservative. For our analysis of the content published by news organizations in the early days of the Biden administration, we group news organizations by the political party and ideology of their audiences. Also, by significant margins, those in the right-only group are likeliest to say climate policy (64%) and the COVID-19 pandemic (57%) are getting too much attention. When it comes to the tone of coverage, both new administrations received more negative assessments than positive assessments of their activities. Panelists for whom a record of voting was located are considered validated voters; all others are presumed not to have voted. Only among members of the Silent Generation, ages 75 to 92 in 2020, was Trump clearly favored (by 58%-42%). Within the Protestant tradition, White evangelicals accounted for 19% of all voters, but a much higher share of Trumps voters (34%). For now, though, Mr. Biden has managed to do what Mr. Trump repeatedly promised but never could pull off: move forward on a big-spending, bipartisan deal to rebuild American roads, bridges, water . Biden has not said he is willing to debate Trump that voters recall Given the unusual circumstances of the Trump-Biden transition, with Trump still contesting the election results, it is perhaps unsurprising that Trump himself was mentioned in about half the stories about the new Biden administration. When asked whether five key priorities of the new administration were getting too much attention, too little attention or the right amount of coverage, only one such topic the COVID-19 pandemic was identified by a majority of Americans (58%) as getting the right amount. (Nicholas Kamm/AFP via Getty Images) From January to August 2021 Biden's approval rating averaged 10-13 points higher than President Trump's during the same time period in his presidency. Joe Biden has a sizable lead over Donald Trump in national . Biden has shown signs of dementia and is not mentally capable of being president he cant finish a sentence and speaks gibberish Each news outlet in this study was placed in one of three groups based on the political profile of its audience (i.e., those respondents in the survey who reported getting political news from each outlet in the past week). Biden had already reversed Trump's deregulatory efforts. However, since the Afghanistan withdrawal, Biden's dipped below his predecessor . Protestants made up a majority of those voting Republican in 2020, just as they did in 2016. The report includes accurate analyses of PESTLE, SWOT, and other factors that affect the Bidens . Stories were collected from television, radio, digital and print outlets and coded by a team of nine coders trained specifically for this project. Others die trying to circumvent closed-off points of entry. In The Times' latest average, President Biden's favorable rating is 44% and his unfavorable rating is 52% a positive net of about -8 percentage points. The same share of stories about each president were neither positive nor negative (45% for both Biden and Trump). In looking at how the exposure to news stories lines up with the topics that received more or less coverage in Part 1, the two storylines Americans were most likely to have heard a lot about passage of the economic stimulus bill and the distribution of the vaccine align with the two topic areas to receive the most coverage: the economy and health care. Amid a global pandemic, with unprecedented changes in how Americans voted, voter turnout rose 7 percentage points over 2016, resulting in a total of 66% of U.S. adult citizens casting a ballot in the 2020 election. Across the 25 news outlets studied, five broad topics accounted for two-thirds (67%) of all the coverage related to the Biden administration. Then, 74% of all stories were oriented around his character and leadership, compared with only about one-quarter (26%) framed around his ideology and policy agenda. About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. Most notably, both administrations have done devastating harm to millions of forcibly displaced people, who came here looking for safety and opportunity only to become victims of a system that has left them stranded and vulnerable. The surveys are weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education, turnout and vote choice in the three elections, and many other characteristics. Among other types of sources, though, there were some shifts in the rate at which they made their way into stories. Roughly half of U.S. adults (52%) said they had heard a lot about Bidens use of executive orders to reverse many Trump administration policies. Voters think Bidens the alternative to President Trump, the lesser of two evils.. Another significant difference in their coverage is that while the negative Biden stories modestly outnumbered the positive ones, negative stories about Trump exceeded positive ones by four-to-one. While Biden took a 59% majority of the Hispanic vote, Trump (with 38%) gained significantly over the level of support Republican candidates for the House received in 2018 (25%). On the NASDAQ, Trump is at 44.12% compared to Biden at -9.61% a difference of 53.72%. Voters think Trump has done a better job than the last couple of presidents About two-thirds of Biden stories (65%) were framed around ideology and agenda, while about one-third (35%) focused on leadership and character. That stands in stark contrast to the 19% of stories with a negative assessment from outlets with left-leaning audiences and about a quarter of stories (24%) from outlets with a mixed audience. To that end, I am falling back on a well-known but still useful business tool: the SWOT analysis. Given the change in the media landscape, we used the seven sampled media organizations that have persisted since 1993: the nightly evening news on ABC, CBS, NBC and PBS, as well as the print editions of The New York Times, The Washington Post and Newsweek across the first 60 days for each of the five presidencies. Update (Oct. 22): Updated with Biden's plan to create a commission on overhauling the Supreme Court. See Appendix A for more about how these groups were created and for the breakdown of all of the outlets in this study and their audience classification. It conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, media content analysis and other empirical social science research. Still, a majority in the right-only media group say it is fair, and just under half say it is accurate (see Chapter 2 for details). Initially, Biden delivered, with a flurry of executive actions and other first steps to undo Trumps crackdown. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll's quality, sample size and recency Black voters were more likely than White or Hispanic voters to say they cast their ballot in person before Election Day (42% of Black voters, vs. 27% of Hispanic voters and 25% of White voters). There may also have been sources used outside the types listed above that were not captured in this study. The survey also asked Americans which of these five issues is getting the most attention from their main news sources (rather than the news media overall). White women, a group sometimes categorized as swing voters and who broke nearly evenly in 2016 (47% for Trump to 45% for Clinton), favored him in 2020 (53% to 46%). Nonvoters citizens for whom no record of turnout could be located or who told us they did not vote preferred Joe Biden over Donald Trump by 15 percentage points, 50% to 35%, compared with Bidens 4-point overall advantage among voters. One somewhat unusual aspect of the 2016 election was the relatively high share of voters (nearly 6%) who voted for one of the third-party candidates (mostly the Libertarian and Green Party nominees), a fact many observers attributed to the relative unpopularity of both major party candidates. Despite strong approval ratings for his first six months in office, since August 2021 President Biden's disapproval rating has been higher than his approval rating. While the topic of the economy was covered more by outlets with a left-leaning audience, a large majority of Americans, regardless of their media diet, report hearing a lot about the passage of the economic stimulus bill in the news. If Trump can speak and act with better leadership, he can reshape his image and regain support from voters. But support for Biden among the unaffiliated was not quite as lopsided as Trumps support among White evangelicals (a 45-point margin for Biden among the unaffiliated vs. a 69-point margin for Trump among White evangelicals). The survey also asked how much Americans had heard about each of seven specific efforts and initiatives of the new administration. The poll, released Wednesday, shows the . In 2020, suburban voters made up a majority of Bidens coalition (55%); 28% of his voters said they lived in urban areas and 17% were from rural areas. None. Read our research on: Congress | Economy | Gender. Overall, Biden voters were younger, more racially and ethnically diverse, and less likely to live in rural areas than Trump voters. We compare and contrast. And now, new policies are being admonished by advocates and even some serving Democrats for seemingly plagiarizing Trumps very own playbook, without meaningful input from Congress or organizations on the ground. By contrast, Trump garnered the support of 65% of rural voters, including 71% of White rural voters; the latter represented an increase over the 62% he received among this group in 2016. Voters like Trumps strong stance against China in the trade war Zero,". These strengths tie Trump to key issues, like the Economy and Leadership in times of crisis. Passage of the economic stimulus bill and the distribution of the COVID-19 vaccine topped the list, with nearly eight-in-ten U.S. adults (77%) saying they had heard a lot about the stimulus package and 74% hearing a lot about vaccine distribution. White non-evangelical Protestants voted for Trump over Biden by a 14-point margin (57%-43%), while Black Protestants were an overwhelmingly Democratic group (91% voted for Biden). (For more details, see Methodology.). Stories from outlets with right-leaning audiences were modestly less likely to be framed around ideology and agenda (59%), but that still constituted a majority of stories. But attention varied across the media groups, with Americans who turn only to outlets with left-leaning audiences least likely to be following news about the Biden administration very closely (16%) and their counterparts on the right almost twice as likely to do so (30%). Even on the day that President Joe Biden delivered his most jarring warning yet that democracy is in severe danger, Donald Trump teased how he might use a new White House term to further erode . That is significantly higher than the share of Trump voters who were Black (2%). Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. While Bidens popular vote differential was an improvement over Hillary Clintons 2016 2-point advantage, it was not as resounding as congressional Democrats 9-point advantage over Republicans in votes cast in the 2018 elections for the U.S. House of Representatives. Roughly two-thirds of Trump voters (68%) said they voted in person, either on (38%) or before (30%) Election Day. The one area where there was less divergence by media outlet group, however, was in the framing of the Biden stories. The community profiles of Trump and Biden voters are similar in some fundamental ways to the previous two elections but more voters who cast ballots for Biden in 2020 say they live in a suburban area compared with Clintons 2016 voters. Researchers coded stories from the 25 news outlets with content pulled from more than 45 specific programs or websites for a number of measures: Topic:News stories were first coded as being about one of 47 specific topicsor storylines (the most prominent topic within each story was coded as the storys overall topic). The reality is more nuanced, with a long history of bad approaches to humanitarian migration across presidents and some positive moves toward solutions from Biden, bolstered by a different rhetoric, new alternative legal pathways and attempts at more efficient processing. All members of the American Trends Panel who took the 2020 post-election survey whether they voted or not were asked which candidate they preferred in the race for president. At the other end of the generational spectrum, members of the Silent and Greatest generations (born 1945 and earlier) fell from 16% of all voters in 2016 to just 8% in 2020, but their turnout rates remained among the highest of all generations. The presidents management and political approach. Those policy changes have been accompanied by the creation of limited legal pathways, but their eligibility requirements demand a level of financial resources and international connections that the western hemispheres most vulnerable, forcibly displaced people likely cannot produce. Trumps core base is still intensely loyal to him and energetic, and if Trump is able to engage the general public again, can still turn 2020 into a re-election for the President. Detailed descriptions about the focus groups include the detail that these group each lasted more than two hours in length, making sure every voter in the groups got heard, and had a chance to comment on issues they felt were important, a sharp distinction from the brief-as-possible polls which limited voters to multiple-choice responses, and sometimes only an either/or choice. Or, such a story could be framed around the evaluation of the president in terms of his outreach to and relationship with members of Congress, which would then be coded as leadership and character. The 2020 presidential election was historic in many ways. A new analysis of validated 2020 voters from Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel examines change and continuity in the electorate, both of which contributed to Bidens victory. The COVID-19 pandemic has been such a pervasive part of recent news that its presence in coverage was measured separately. (+1) 202-857-8562 | Fax Overall, one-in-four 2020 voters (25%) had not voted in 2016. The high-stakes defamation trial of Dominion Voting Systems vs. Fox News got underway in earnest, as attorneys sifted through potential jurors Tuesday a dozen at a time and were expected to seat a . So is the Biden White House simply a more politically correct Trump 2.0 on immigration at the US-Mexico border? Trumps cabinet appears dishonest. Read our research on: Congress | Economy | Gender, By Ruth Igielnik, Scott Keeter and Hannah Hartig. White non-Hispanic adults were 72% of voters in 2020 but just 55% of nonvoting citizens. Assessment of the Biden administration:In this analysis, each statement in a story (made by a source or the reporter him or herself) was analyzed to determine how, if at all, it assessed President Biden and his administrations actions or words. Younger adults continue to make up a larger share of Democratic voters compared with Republican voters. Generation Xers, those ages 40 to 55 in 2020, divided relatively evenly (51% to 48%), as did Baby Boomers. In 2020, 31% of Trump voters had at least a four-year college degree similar to the share of Trump voters who had a college degree in 2016. The Democratic electorate is more evenly divided when it comes to education. Despite notable changes in the demographics of the two candidates coalitions, the demographic composition of the electorate as a whole in 2020 did not differ much from that of 2016. Outlets with right-leaning audiences had fewer stories in which COVID-19 was a major focus (meaning it was a part of half or more of the story): 29%, versus 45% of the left-leaning audience outlets and 44% in the mixed audience group. As was the case in the 2016 and 2018 elections, the Democratic voting coalition in 2020 looked quite different from the Republican coalition in several respects. 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